SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Portimonense |
43.82% ( -0.41) | 27.82% ( 0.09) | 28.36% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.75% ( -0.19) | 59.25% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.34% ( -0.15) | 79.66% ( 0.14) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.3) | 26.86% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.82% ( -0.4) | 62.17% ( 0.4) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( 0.16) | 36.82% ( -0.16) |
