SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Porto | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Estoril Praia | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Famalicao | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 4 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
43.89% ( -1.73) | 28.33% ( 0.04) | 27.77% ( 1.69) |
| Both teams to score 44.51% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.77% ( 0.66) | 61.22% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.84% ( 0.49) | 81.16% ( -0.49) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( -0.59) | 27.76% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.66% ( -0.77) | 63.33% ( 0.77) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% ( 1.82) | 38.39% ( -1.82) |
