While Portimonense have enjoyed the far more consistently strong season, Famalicao come into Saturday with plenty of momentum, and we see them picking up a result.
While we back the sixth-placed side to avoid a defeat, they will be put under plenty of pressure by a resurgent Fama outfit and should be relatively pleased with a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
