SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Pacos de Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Boavista | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
40.56% ( 0.89) | 28.3% ( -0.23) | 31.13% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.03% ( 0.64) | 59.96% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.79% ( 0.49) | 80.21% ( -0.49) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( 0.83) | 28.98% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.12% ( 1.02) | 64.88% ( -1.02) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.93% ( -0.14) | 35.07% ( 0.14) |
