We said: Famalicao 1-2 Braga
After failing to win both home and away fixtures last season, Braga should expect another stern challenge from a resilient Famalicao side who enjoyed a solid campaign last season. While we expect the home side to put up a fight, we are backing Os Arcebispos to carry the momentum from their league opener and claim a slender win this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result |
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
36.64% ( 0.03) | 27.61% ( 0.07) | 35.76% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.2) |
| 43.23% ( -0.25) | 56.77% ( 0.25) |
| 22.29% ( -0.2) | 77.71% ( 0.2) |
| 70.27% ( -0.1) | 29.73% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0.13) | 65.79% ( 0.13) |
| 69.72% ( -0.19) | 30.28% ( 0.19) |
