SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
30.87% ( -0.26) | 25.58% ( 0.12) | 43.55% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.63) | 49.59% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( -0.57) | 71.62% ( 0.57) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0.49) | 29.89% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34% ( -0.6) | 65.99% ( 0.6) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.21) | 22.69% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.65% ( -0.31) | 56.35% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 4 |
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