Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Braga |
62.26% | 20.43% ( -0) | 17.31% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.44% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.06% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.01) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% ( 0) | 12.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.53% ( 0) | 38.46% ( -0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( 0.01) | 36.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( 0.01) | 73.6% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Braga |
2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.62% Total : 62.26% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.97% 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 4.78% 0-1 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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