SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Braga | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Estoril Praia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Pacos de Ferreira | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Famalicao | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Maritimo |
61.02% ( 0.09) | 22.18% ( -0.03) | 16.8% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( 0) | 49.03% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( 0) | 71.11% ( -0) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( 0.03) | 15.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.42% ( 0.06) | 44.58% ( -0.06) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% ( -0.08) | 42.5% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.13% ( -0.07) | 78.87% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 61.01% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 16.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
| 3 | Braga | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 46 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
| 14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
