SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Chaves |
65.46% ( 0.25) | 20.43% ( -0.13) | 14.11% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.78% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( 0.28) | 46.75% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.27) | 69.01% ( -0.27) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( 0.16) | 13.47% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.53% ( 0.32) | 40.47% ( -0.33) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% ( -0.01) | 44.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.24% ( -0) | 80.76% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Chaves |
| 2-0 @ 12.12% 1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 65.45% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 |
| 2 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 |
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 53 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 |
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