SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sporting Lisbon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Chaves | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Sporting Lisbon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Chaves | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
64.41% ( 0.42) | 19.9% ( -0.09) | 15.69% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( -0.21) | 41.18% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( -0.21) | 63.57% ( 0.21) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( 0.05) | 12.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.4% ( 0.11) | 37.6% ( -0.11) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0.54) | 39.16% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.12% ( -0.52) | 75.88% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
| 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 64.4% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
| 3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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