SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
45.08% ( 1.11) | 27.9% ( 0.15) | 27.02% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 45.19% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.86% ( -1.1) | 60.13% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.66% ( -0.84) | 80.34% ( 0.84) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.06) | 26.62% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.14% ( 0.08) | 61.86% ( -0.08) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( -1.64) | 38.41% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.83% ( -1.61) | 75.16% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
| 3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 26 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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