Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga - Primeira Liga - January 21, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

In the presence of UEFA-designated tournaments since 2004-05, we predict that Braga will continue their aspirations of not only once gracing both domestic and continental engagements but keep their dream of winning their first-ever Primeira Liga title alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Braga
19.47% ( -0.05)	22.35% ( -0)	58.17% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

-0.06)

45.71% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

-0.05)

68.03% (

0.05)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55% (

-0.08)

37.45% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77% (

-0.08)

74.23% (

0.08)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59% (

-0)

15.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.77% (

-0.01)

44.23% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 19.47%

Braga 58.17%

Draw 22.35%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.47%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.17%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	34	28	3	3	82	20	62	87
2	Porto	34	27	4	3	73	22	51	85
3	Braga	33	24	3	6	72	30	42	75
4	Sporting Lisbon	34	23	5	6	71	32	39	74
5	Arouca Arouca	34	15	9	10	36	37	-1	54
6	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	34	16	5	13	34	39	-5	53
7	Chaves Chaves	34	12	10	12	35	40	-5	46
8	Famalicao Famalicao	34	13	5	16	39	47	-8	44
9	Boavista Boavista	34	12	8	14	43	54	-11	44
10	Casa Pia	34	11	8	15	31	40	-9	41
11	Vizela	34	11	7	16	34	38	-4	40
12	Rio Ave Rio Ave	34	10	10	14	36	43	-7	40
13	Gil Vicente	34	10	7	17	32	41	-9	37
14	Estoril Praia Estoril	34	10	5	19	33	49	-16	35
15	Portimonense Portimonense	34	10	4	20	25	48	-23	34
16	Maritimo	34	7	5	22	32	63	-31	26
17	Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira	33	6	5	22	26	59	-33	23
R	Santa Clara Santa Clara	34	5	7	22	26	58	-32	22

Form, Standings, Stats