SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Benfica |
15.54% ( 0.91) | 21.42% ( 0.81) | 63.04% ( -1.72) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( -1.67) | 48.1% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( -1.55) | 70.26% ( 1.55) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.42% ( 0.24) | 43.58% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.22% ( 0.2) | 79.78% ( -0.2) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( -1.06) | 14.64% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.23% ( -2.08) | 42.77% ( 2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.54% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.42% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.54% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 64 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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