SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
20.04% ( 0.43) | 23.86% ( 0.36) | 56.1% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.84% ( -0.9) | 51.16% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( -0.79) | 73.01% ( 0.79) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.05) | 39.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.36% ( -0.04) | 76.64% ( 0.04) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.62) | 18.08% ( 0.62) |
