SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Chaves | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Boavista | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Arouca | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Casa Pia |
57.19% ( 0.16) | 24.31% ( -0.03) | 18.49% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.47% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% ( -0.03) | 54.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( -0.03) | 76.11% ( 0.03) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% ( 0.05) | 19.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.39% ( 0.08) | 50.61% ( -0.08) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.15% ( -0.16) | 43.84% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20% ( -0.13) | 79.99% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 57.19% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 12 | 36 | 51 |
| 3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
| 8 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 26 |
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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