SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sporting Lisbon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Casa Pia |
55.64% ( 0.3) | 23.81% ( 0.08) | 20.54% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( -0.77) | 50.38% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( -0.68) | 72.31% ( 0.69) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( -0.17) | 17.95% ( 0.17) |
