MX23RW : Thursday, January 26 19:20:35
SM
Aug 30, 2022 at 8.15pm UK at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica
3 - 2
Pacos de Ferreira
Neres (42'), Mario (45+4' pen.), Ramos (56')
Silva (16'), Fernandez (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Philippe Koffi (39', 80')
Holsgrove (14'), Flavio (35'), Oliveira (45+2'), Ibrahim (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, August 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Benfica will be licking their lips as their next task pits them against a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side who have stumbled into the new season. Looking at recent results between the sides and the gulf in morale and quality in both squads, we are tipping Benfica to come away with a comfortable victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 5.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.87%) and 1-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPacos de Ferreira
81.96% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 12.69% (-0.042 -0.04) 5.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 37.93% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (0.10700000000001 0.11)39.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.37% (0.111 0.11)61.63% (-0.107 -0.11)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.66% (0.040000000000006 0.04)7.34% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.48% (0.094999999999999 0.09)26.51% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)90.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 81.94%
    Pacos de Ferreira 5.35%
    Draw 12.69%
BenficaDrawPacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 14.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 8.41% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 4.39% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 81.94%
1-1 @ 5.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 12.69%
0-1 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 5.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Boavista 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, August 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, August 9 at 6.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Arouca
Friday, August 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-3 Estoril
Friday, August 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-3 Portimonense
Monday, August 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, August 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, May 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Tondela
Monday, May 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica17142143123144
2Braga17131339132640
3Porto17123241113039
4Sporting Lisbon17102533191432
5Casa Pia178361616027
6AroucaArouca177552225-326
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes177371519-424
8ChavesChaves175751621-522
9Vizela176381917221
10Rio AveRio Ave175661720-321
11BoavistaBoavista166371625-921
12PortimonensePortimonense176291321-820
13Estoril PraiaEstoril165471621-519
14Gil Vicente175391724-718
15FamalicaoFamalicao175391623-718
16Santa ClaraSanta Clara173591121-1014
17Maritimo1734101131-2013
18Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira1713131032-226
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