Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
