Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
