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B
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio da Luz
B
Benfica
6 - 1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
40.32%26.06%33.63%
Both teams to score 53.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26%50.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36%72.64%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35%28.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54%64.46%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 40.32%
    Braga 33.63%
    Draw 26.05%
BenficaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 40.32%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.63%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica31262372175580
2Porto30234363194473
3Braga31232666264071
4Sporting Lisbon30204661283364
5AroucaArouca3013983334-148
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30135122936-744
7FamalicaoFamalicao30133143439-542
8Casa Pia31117132835-740
9ChavesChaves301010103034-440
10BoavistaBoavista31117133749-1240
11Vizela30116133332139
12Rio AveRio Ave30108123135-438
13PortimonensePortimonense31104172440-1634
14Gil Vicente3187162839-1131
15Estoril PraiaEstoril3184192646-2028
16Maritimo3064202756-2922
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira3055202352-2920
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara3147202250-2819
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