With their European commitments on the horizon, we expect both sides to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting result. However, looking at past results between the sides and their current form, Benfica are clear favourites to come away with the desired result and we predict they will do just that.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
