SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
29.35% ( 0.01) | 26.35% ( 0) | 44.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.64% ( -0.01) | 53.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% ( -0.01) | 74.9% ( 0.01) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( 0) | 32.91% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.51% ( 0) | 69.49% ( -0) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( -0.01) | 23.96% ( 0.01) |
