SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Santa Clara |
47.91% ( -0.21) | 28.13% ( 0.08) | 23.96% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.28% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.17) | 62.61% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.81% ( -0.12) | 82.18% ( 0.12) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( -0.18) | 26.35% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.5% ( -0.24) | 61.49% ( 0.24) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.41% ( 0.02) | 42.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.06% ( 0.02) | 78.94% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 47.91% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.08% Total : 23.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 |
| 2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
| 3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
| 6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
| 8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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