Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica - Primeira Liga - January 26, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Benfica will be regarded as strong favourites to secure maximum points at the Estadio da Mata Real and will likely have more joy in the final third against their struggling counterparts. Pacos de Ferreira caused a few problems for the Eagles in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but they may struggle to breach their backline on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Benfica
6.5% ( -0.01)	12.63% ( -0.02)	80.86% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 45.87% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.71% (

0.09)

33.28% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.95% (

0.1)

55.05% (

-0.1)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.96% (

0.04)

51.04% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.63% (

0.03)

85.37% (

-0.03)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.69% (

0.02)

6.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.26% (

0.07)

23.74% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 6.5%

Benfica 80.86%

Draw 12.63%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 6.5%	1-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.63%	0-2 @ 12.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 11.32% 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 80.86%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	24	21	2	1	61	13	48	65
2	Porto	24	18	3	3	55	17	38	57
3	Braga	24	18	1	5	54	22	32	55
4	Sporting Lisbon	24	16	2	6	49	23	26	50
5	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	24	12	4	8	24	24	0	40
6	Arouca Arouca	24	10	7	7	28	31	-3	37
7	Casa Pia	23	10	5	8	20	23	-3	35
8	Rio Ave Rio Ave	24	8	6	10	23	28	-5	30
9	Boavista Boavista	24	8	6	10	27	38	-11	30
10	Vizela	24	8	5	11	26	27	-1	29
11	Gil Vicente	24	8	5	11	26	31	-5	29
12	Chaves Chaves	24	7	8	9	24	31	-7	29
13	Famalicao Famalicao	23	8	3	12	22	31	-9	27
14	Portimonense Portimonense	24	8	2	14	18	31	-13	26
15	Estoril Praia Estoril	24	6	4	14	21	37	-16	22
16	Maritimo	24	4	4	16	17	45	-28	16
17	Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira	24	4	3	17	18	42	-24	15
18	Santa Clara Santa Clara	24	3	6	15	17	36	-19	15

Form, Standings, Stats