MX23RW : Wednesday, February 1 00:56:09
SM
Wednesday, February 1

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente will head into the game in sky-high confidence following their impressive win over Famalicao last time out. They appear to have found their rhythm and we are tipping them to come away with all three points against an out-of-sorts Pacos de Ferreira side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawGil Vicente
23.87%26.49%49.64%
Both teams to score 46.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.77%57.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.92%78.08%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4%39.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.28%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86%23.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43%57.01%
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 23.87%
    Gil Vicente 49.64%
    Draw 26.49%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.49%
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 3.93%
3-1 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 23.87%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 9.16%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 13.41%
0-2 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-3 @ 4.79%
1-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 49.64%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica19162148123650
2Braga17131339132640
3Porto17123241113039
4Sporting Lisbon17102533191432
5Casa Pia189361817130
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes188371720-327
7AroucaArouca187562228-626
8Vizela187382218424
9BoavistaBoavista177372027-724
10ChavesChaves185761723-622
11Rio AveRio Ave185671823-521
12FamalicaoFamalicao186391723-621
13PortimonensePortimonense1862101525-1020
14Estoril PraiaEstoril175481622-619
15Gil Vicente1853101826-818
16Santa ClaraSanta Clara1835101223-1114
17Maritimo1734101131-2013
18Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira1923141235-239
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