SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
39.72% ( -0.13) | 26.56% ( 0.06) | 33.71% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( -0.24) | 52.81% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( -0.2) | 74.44% ( 0.2) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( -0.18) | 26.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.88% ( -0.24) | 61.11% ( 0.24) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.35% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 26 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 67 | 14 | 53 | 71 |
| 2 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 |
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 53 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 |
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