SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 4.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 4-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
85.29% ( -0.04) | 10.09% ( 0.04) | 4.62% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.05% ( -0.24) | 28.95% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.09% ( -0.29) | 49.91% ( 0.3) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.31% ( -0.05) | 4.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 80.96% ( -0.15) | 19.04% ( 0.16) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.02% ( -0.19) | 53.98% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.74% ( -0.11) | 87.27% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
| 3-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 9.25% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 85.28% | 1-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 10.09% | 0-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 4.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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