SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Porto |
9.17% ( 0) | 18.08% ( 0.18) | 72.75% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 39.4% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( -0.73) | 49.19% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( -0.66) | 71.25% ( 0.67) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.82% ( -0.46) | 55.18% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.01% ( -0.28) | 87.99% ( 0.28) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( -0.26) | 12.09% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.36% ( -0.55) | 37.64% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 9.17% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.4% Total : 18.08% | 0-2 @ 14.89% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 14.09% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 10.48% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 72.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 48 | 65 |
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 |
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 |
| 8 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
| 10 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 16 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
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