SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
39.47% ( 0.32) | 28.95% | 31.58% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.93% ( -0.07) | 62.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.21% ( -0.05) | 81.78% ( 0.05) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( 0.16) | 30.66% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.1% ( 0.19) | 66.9% ( -0.19) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.28) | 35.87% ( 0.27) |
