Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
