SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
53.66% ( 0.08) | 25.77% ( -0.04) | 20.58% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.61% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% ( 0.08) | 57.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% ( 0.06) | 78.38% ( -0.06) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( 0.07) | 21.56% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.37% ( 0.1) | 54.63% ( -0.1) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.87% | 43.13% ( -0) |
