SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Boavista | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Famalicao | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 5 | -12 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boavista.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
47.32% ( 0.3) | 26.74% ( -0.01) | 25.94% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.57% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.32% ( -0.15) | 56.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.36% ( -0.12) | 77.64% ( 0.12) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( 0.08) | 23.97% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.79% ( 0.11) | 58.21% ( -0.11) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( -0.33) | 37.42% ( 0.33) |
