Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
