SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
43.14% ( -0.65) | 27.43% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 47.85% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.57% ( 0.29) | 57.43% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.76% ( 0.23) | 78.24% ( -0.23) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.21) | 26.38% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.46% ( -0.27) | 61.53% ( 0.27) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% ( 0.66) | 35% ( -0.66) |
