Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
