Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
