Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Setubal and Famalicao.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.