Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
