Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
57.46% ( 0.06) | 24.07% ( -0.04) | 18.47% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.08% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% ( 0.13) | 53.95% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( 0.11) | 75.4% ( -0.11) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( 0.07) | 18.61% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.09% ( 0.13) | 49.9% ( -0.13) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.62% ( 0.05) | 43.37% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.39% ( 0.04) | 79.6% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.45% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 |
2 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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