Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.11% ( -0.75) | 27.63% ( -0.37) | 39.26% ( 1.12) |
Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.88% ( 1.28) | 57.12% ( -1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.01% ( 1.01) | 77.99% ( -1.01) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( 0.15) | 32.18% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% ( 0.17) | 68.67% ( -0.17) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.65% ( 1.28) | 28.35% ( -1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.91% ( 1.58) | 64.09% ( -1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.1% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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