SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo |
46.01% ( -0.14) | 27.03% ( 0.05) | 26.97% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.9% ( -0.13) | 57.11% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.02% ( -0.1) | 77.98% ( 0.11) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -0.12) | 24.79% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.64% ( -0.17) | 59.37% ( 0.18) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.01) | 36.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.43% ( 0.01) | 73.58% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 64 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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