SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.63%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave |
35.63% ( 0.48) | 28.77% ( -0.12) | 35.6% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.95% ( 0.41) | 61.05% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.97% ( 0.31) | 81.03% ( -0.3) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( 0.53) | 32.52% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.94% ( 0.59) | 69.05% ( -0.59) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.02) | 32.54% ( 0.02) |
