SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
42.79% ( 1.2) | 27.68% ( 0.3) | 29.53% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( -1.61) | 58.27% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( -1.27) | 78.9% ( 1.27) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( -0.11) | 26.95% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.72% ( -0.14) | 62.28% ( 0.14) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.63% ( -1.97) | 35.37% ( 1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.87% ( -2.11) | 72.13% ( 2.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 |
| 2 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
| 3 | Braga | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 56 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 16 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 15 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
