SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
42.39% ( -0.81) | 28.56% ( 0.46) | 29.05% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.53% ( -1.39) | 61.47% ( 1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.66% ( -1.04) | 81.34% ( 1.05) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -1.1) | 28.69% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.49% ( -1.4) | 64.51% ( 1.4) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( -0.47) | 37.48% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.74% ( -0.47) | 74.26% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.6% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.73% Total : 29.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
| 2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
| 3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
| 6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
| 8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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