SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vizela |
41.61% ( 0.1) | 26.51% ( 0.11) | 31.89% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.67% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.96% ( -0.48) | 53.05% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( -0.41) | 74.63% ( 0.42) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.16) | 25.18% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.1% ( -0.23) | 59.9% ( 0.23) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( -0.39) | 30.94% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.76% ( -0.45) | 67.24% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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