Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
