Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
