SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.3% ( 0.07) | 20.11% ( 0.04) | 65.58% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( -0.01) | 44.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.69% ( -0.01) | 67.31% ( 0.01) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.61% ( 0.09) | 43.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.38% ( 0.08) | 79.62% ( -0.08) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( -0.03) | 12.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.72% ( -0.07) | 39.28% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.3% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.11% | 0-2 @ 11.73% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.02% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.7% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 65.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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