Sporting Lisbon responded to their Champions League humiliation in fine fashion as they secured a dominant victory over Estoril Praia last time out. Next up for the defending champions is a trip to an inconsistent Maritimo side who have managed just one win from their last five games. While they face rivals Porto in the Taca de Portugal next week, we expect Amorim to name a strong side on Saturday and we are tipping them to come away with all three points and extend their dominance in this fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
