SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
23.06% ( 2.37) | 22.77% ( 0.66) | 54.18% ( -3.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( -0.07) | 43% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( -0.07) | 65.4% ( 0.06) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( 2.16) | 32.45% ( -2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.03% ( 2.37) | 68.97% ( -2.37) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -1.03) | 15.81% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.02% ( -1.94) | 44.98% ( 1.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 6% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.49% Total : 23.06% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.62)1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.59)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.37)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.13)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.6% Total : 54.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
| 2 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 16 |
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